Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 155.112959 179.586114 207.863186 243.232894 286.686230 338.847149 4.069917e+02
2025-06-29 120.172164 150.007154 188.082691 241.259422 315.299343 417.419765 5.739406e+02
2025-07-06 101.232267 132.775313 175.806589 240.714143 339.731702 491.670126 7.569874e+02
2025-07-13 92.968263 127.197216 176.671476 256.615755 389.343900 615.125566 1.065574e+03
2025-07-20 87.363011 123.974423 179.642967 275.353572 447.289466 770.526083 1.509835e+03
2025-07-27 79.691111 116.276953 174.121394 278.559104 478.563078 887.589654 1.943770e+03
2025-08-03 74.196826 111.072082 171.532338 285.884503 518.949744 1037.767426 2.561272e+03
2025-08-10 68.451235 104.650800 165.817181 286.126650 544.871852 1166.036753 3.223617e+03
2025-08-17 64.109791 100.001167 162.427754 290.006279 579.502495 1330.635266 4.165262e+03
2025-08-24 59.650828 94.623509 156.955556 288.583141 601.588355 1472.467641 5.190618e+03
2025-08-31 55.911858 90.100971 152.456035 288.320610 626.471358 1635.420814 6.540762e+03
2025-09-07 53.400684 87.507730 151.265005 294.983402 671.167176 1886.538850 8.797542e+03
2025-09-14 48.133589 79.721554 139.708163 277.931731 651.929349 1926.947301 1.003356e+04
2025-09-21 44.901033 75.482069 134.855651 275.999724 676.595074 2155.326128 1.335407e+04
2025-09-28 42.168994 71.902960 130.871633 275.369224 705.373678 2427.162525 1.823242e+04
2025-10-05 41.356830 71.931717 134.409649 294.288934 804.196362 3115.138601 3.244549e+04
2025-10-12 40.779069 72.345488 138.821363 316.657561 926.790054 4099.171403 6.502946e+04
2025-10-19 38.917003 69.953790 136.640812 320.492120 984.052575 4796.765214 1.085304e+05
2025-10-26 37.530734 68.408743 136.194663 329.263451 1066.244476 5817.815400 2.119463e+05
2025-11-02 35.754094 65.874292 133.106391 329.553593 1113.807366 6679.889504 3.890607e+05
2025-11-09 34.368639 64.055162 131.518349 334.203924 1184.627099 7928.628507 8.895071e+05
2025-11-16 32.762626 61.619969 128.138964 332.497698 1225.466865 9006.749505 2.024337e+06
2025-11-23 31.354320 59.508226 125.336697 332.182993 1274.473347 10353.083965 6.084673e+06